An analyst predicts that producing iPhones in the U.S. could triple their price, suggesting that domestic manufacturing may be a costlier alternative to tariffs. Consumers might face unprecedented costs regardless of where iPhones are made.
Analyst predicts the price of your next iPhone could triple if it’s made in the US — that’s worse than tariffs

Key Takeaways:
- Analyst predicts tripling of iPhone prices with U.S. production
- Tariffs expected to raise prices, but U.S. production could be costlier
- Consumers may face higher costs regardless of production location
- Domestic manufacturing might not alleviate tariff pressures
- Economic impact of manufacturing decisions on tech products
Analyst Predicts Tripling of iPhone Prices with U.S. Production
An analyst has projected a startling potential outcome for iPhone buyers: if Apple shifts production to the United States, the price of the next iPhone could triple. This prediction challenges the assumption that moving manufacturing domestically would mitigate the financial impacts of international tariffs.
The Effect of Tariffs on iPhone Prices
Tariffs imposed on imported goods are poised to increase the cost of products like the iPhone. Consumers may already be bracing for price hikes as companies pass along these added expenses. The prospect of paying more due to tariffs is a concern for both buyers and manufacturers.
Assessing the Costs of U.S. Manufacturing
The analyst suggests that producing iPhones in the U.S. might lead to even greater price increases than tariffs would cause. The significant rise in manufacturing costs—stemming from higher labor expenses, infrastructure investments, and operational challenges—could result in iPhones costing up to three times more than their current price.
Comparing Tariffs and Domestic Production
While tariffs present a financial hurdle, the alternative of domestic production appears to offer no relief. The comparative analysis indicates that the shift could exacerbate the pricing issue rather than alleviate it. For consumers, this means facing substantial price increases regardless of the production strategy adopted.
Implications for Consumers and the Market
Such a dramatic rise in iPhone prices could have far-reaching implications. Consumers might reconsider purchasing decisions, leading to decreased demand. This scenario could impact Apple’s market share and influence the broader technology market, as competitors adjust strategies in response.
Conclusion
The prediction underscores a complex dilemma: both tariffs and shifting production to the U.S. pose significant cost challenges. As companies like Apple navigate these economic pressures, consumers are left to anticipate how these decisions will affect their access to the latest technology—and at what price.