Notre Dame’s season prospects took a significant blow in ESPN’s Football Power Index following its performance against Miami. This notable drop has sparked questions about the team’s playoff path and overall outlook.
ESPN FPI Drops Notre Dame: What It Means for the Irish Playoff Hopes

Key Takeaways:
- ESPN’s FPI shows a steep decline in Notre Dame’s projections.
- The performance against Miami catalyzed this change.
- Notre Dame’s playoff hopes face fresh uncertainty.
- The analysis originates from Sports Illustrated (SI).
- Publication date is September 1, 2025.
Introduction
Notre Dame’s season projections took a massive hit in ESPN’s FPI model after its showing against Miami. The dip in advanced metrics has fans and analysts wondering just how formidable the Irish will be as the season unfolds.
Understanding ESPN’s FPI
ESPN’s Football Power Index, commonly known as FPI, is a predictive tool used to gauge how well a college football team is expected to perform throughout the season. For Notre Dame, a drop in FPI can heavily influence public perception of its strength and potential to compete for a playoff berth.
The Miami Factor
The central catalyst for Notre Dame’s FPI plunge was its outing against Miami. While details of the matchup are behind a paywall, the available information indicates that the Irish’s performance had a direct impact on the updated metrics. This single game changed the conversation around the team’s trajectory.
Playoff Implications
A lower FPI ranking often correlates with a tougher road to the national championship. Notre Dame, long considered a playoff contender, must now confront questions about whether its current form aligns with top-tier expectations. Though the season has not yet concluded, the metrics reveal a more challenging path ahead.
Looking Ahead
Despite the setback, Notre Dame still has opportunities to reset its trajectory. Future matchups—whether with perennial rivals or fellow FPI chart-toppers—could shift predictions once again. As the Irish move forward, they do so under heightened scrutiny, tasked with disproving the dour forecast.
Conclusion
The latest update from ESPN’s FPI underscores how quickly projections can shift in college football. Notre Dame’s playoff dreams may still be alive, but the team’s recent drop serves as a reminder that every performance has the potential to redefine the season. With challenging tests yet to come, the Irish will have their mettle tested in the weeks ahead.