The U.S. population is projected to grow at a more modest pace over the next three decades than earlier estimates suggested. According to the budget office, stricter immigration policies under the Trump administration and declining birth rates together contribute to this slowdown. These new projections may reshape long-term demographic and economic expectations.
Trump immigration policies and a lower fertility rate slow US growth projection, budget office says
Key Takeaways:
- The budget office predicts slower U.S. population growth than previously forecast.
- Immigration policies during Trump’s presidency contribute to this shift.
- A lower national fertility rate further drives the anticipated slowdown.
- The projection covers the next 30 years of demographic change.
Population Projections
Recent data from the budget office indicates that the U.S. population will expand at a slower rate than past estimates had suggested. Over the next 30 years, the country’s growth trajectory may be significantly affected by the combined impact of shifting immigration policies and a declining fertility rate.
Impact of Immigration Policies
The budget office cites policies implemented during the Trump administration as one major factor behind the reduction in projected population growth. By imposing restrictions on immigration, the potential pool of new residents has reportedly narrowed, altering the national demographic outlook over a long-term horizon.
Declining Fertility Rates
Another primary reason for the revised projections is the drop in births across the nation. As fewer babies are born each year—often due to social and economic factors—this ongoing trend lowers the expected overall population. The budget office’s estimates underscore how these two distinct factors, immigration and fertility, converge to reshape America’s future.
Looking Ahead
According to the latest findings, these demographic patterns are poised to transform the country’s economic and social landscape in the coming decades. Although the full article’s content remains behind a paywall, the available summary from Newsday affirms the importance of immigration policy and family planning choices in shaping the nation’s future population growth.