Tenstreet Analysis Reveals Drivers Prioritize Stability and Connection Amid AI Recruiting Shift

Key Takeaways:

• Drivers remain in current roles longer, indicating a desire for stability.
• Possible “pent-up” turnover could occur if freight conditions improve.
• Application volumes in April 2026 were just 5% below April 2025 levels.
• AI-driven recruitment is on the rise, but human connection still matters.
• Tim Crawford of Tenstreet calls the current environment “a market stuck in neutral.”

Stability in a Transforming Industry

Truck drivers across the United States are opting to stay in their roles longer, according to Tenstreet’s recent analysis of data from approximately 5,000 carriers. This trend, which has been growing since late 2023, shows drivers preferring stability over change, especially when they lack clear signals about the broader freight market’s future.

Cautious But Looking

While turnover rates have improved for some carriers, Tenstreet’s findings suggest that many drivers are simply waiting for the right moment to move. Full application volumes in April 2026 stood only 5% lower than they were in April 2025, indicating continued interest in switching roles. Moreover, drivers typically re-enter the job market after spending an average of 3.8 months in their current positions, underscoring their readiness to pivot if conditions become more favorable.

AI’s Quiet Influence

As carriers adopt new AI-driven recruitment tools, they must remember that personal interaction still resonates deeply with drivers. Despite technology’s growing presence, many drivers remain cautious and seek assurance that their voices will be heard. The ability to provide a sense of human support can be a decisive factor for those exploring new opportunities.

A Market in Neutral

Tim Crawford, Chief Executive Officer at Tenstreet, describes the current landscape as “a market stuck in neutral,” cautioning that carriers need to improve the driver experience if they want to preserve these retention gains. If freight levels rebound meaningfully, companies could see a wave of departures from drivers who have been holding out for higher demand. Tenstreet’s analysis serves as a reminder that, despite the allure of AI-powered recruiting, the core values of connection and stability remain paramount for drivers navigating the ever-evolving trucking industry.